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PostPosted: Sat May 14, 2011 10:30 am 
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The Corps of Engineers will be opening the Morganza Spillway today, which will flood approx 1.9 million acres of prime farmland and many small towns up to 25' deep. They will be going with Scenario 1A http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morganza_Spillway , which they think will be the least damaging. The opening will be televised/live streamed http://www.nola.com/

Worst case is that the lower Mississippi will change course, which happens every 1000 years or so, and which has been prevented by all the levees and dams we've built in the last hundred years. - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Missi ... floods#R... , which would have a significant impact on the Nation as a whole.

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PostPosted: Sat May 14, 2011 1:52 pm 
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Unreal, this years weather has been crazy to say the least. My heart goes out to all affected.

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PostPosted: Sat May 14, 2011 2:03 pm 
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Wow

I am speechless flood the few to save the many

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PostPosted: Sat May 14, 2011 2:23 pm 
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This has been the most expensive year in history with respect to natural disasters here in the US. I'm not even gonna mention what we have to look forward to in our neck o' the woods.

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PostPosted: Sat May 14, 2011 2:52 pm 
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Here's a video that describes the area and the floodways. http://www.mvn.usace.army.mil/PAO/video ... rganza.asp

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PostPosted: Sat May 14, 2011 7:10 pm 
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Gene wrote:
Here's a video that describes the area and the floodways. http://www.mvn.usace.army.mil/PAO/video ... rganza.asp


Interesting video. Intersting how much of the country the Miss. drains.

Also, I realize how spared from the rath of Mother Nature I've been in Southeast PA.

My beach cottage at Gandy's Beach NJ is on the fringe though.

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PostPosted: Sat May 14, 2011 7:14 pm 
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Here's a link from the little bay town of gandy's beach where my cottage is
As you will read, I dodged a bullet earlier this spring.

http://www.nj.com/cumberland/index.ssf/ ... ommer.html

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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 12:05 am 
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Personally this simply reinforces my opinion on the futility of trying to defy Mother Nature.

I have the deepest sympathies for all those who have and are losing everything that means anything to them. Not just in the flood, but all the other disasters we've been subjected to in the most recent past. I mean no disrespect. But if we intend to occupy areas with known risks, we should take steps to protect ourselves from the potential consequences or accept them.

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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 7:50 am 
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DennisS wrote:
Personally this simply reinforces my opinion on the futility of trying to defy Mother Nature.

I have the deepest sympathies for all those who have and are losing everything that means anything to them. Not just in the flood, but all the other disasters we've been subjected to in the most recent past. I mean no disrespect. But if we intend to occupy areas with known risks, we should take steps to protect ourselves from the potential consequences or accept them.


I think you are right. One definition of insanity is to keep doing the same thing and expecting a different result. Where my cottage is, the town was flooded in 1980 and 50 houses were lost, yet they rebuilt anywhere the land did not wash away. How could anyone have thought it wouldn't happen again?

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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 7:58 am 
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Dennis, it does seem like a losing battle sometimes, but we've been doing it since we lit the first campfire or planted the first garden. All cultures have modified their environment for their own purposes. The challenges presented by the environment are largely responsible for our technological progress and social structures thru the ages. Without those challenges, we'd still be swinging from the trees. :wink:

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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 9:05 am 
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[quote="Gene"]Dennis, it does seem like a losing battle sometimes, but we've been doing it since we lit the first campfire or planted the first garden. All cultures have modified their environment for their own purposes. The challenges presented by the environment are largely responsible for our technological progress and social structures thru the ages. Without those challenges, we'd still be swinging from the trees. :wink:[/quote

No doubt Gene, and obviously we can't eliminate all risks dealt to us by Mother Nature. With that said, doesn't it make sense to eliminate some of the highest risk scenarios? For example in the areas about to be flooded, couldn't houses only be rebuilt if they could be raised higher than the water level of the known flood levels? Cut losses where the likelyhood is very high?

Intersting thread here.

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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 10:10 am 
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reelinron wrote:
No doubt Gene, and obviously we can't eliminate all risks dealt to us by Mother Nature. With that said, doesn't it make sense to eliminate some of the highest risk scenarios? For example in the areas about to be flooded, couldn't houses only be rebuilt if they could be raised higher than the water level of the known flood levels? Cut losses where the likelyhood is very high?


Whose losses? http://www.floodsmart.gov/floodsmart/pa ... _rates.jsp

Then there are discounts available if your community participates in CRS. http://www.fema.gov/business/nfip/crs.shtm

If you have a federally guaranteed mortgage, you have flood insurance as a condition of the guarantee.


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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 11:18 am 
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reelinron wrote:
Gene wrote:
Dennis, it does seem like a losing battle sometimes, but we've been doing it since we lit the first campfire or planted the first garden. All cultures have modified their environment for their own purposes. The challenges presented by the environment are largely responsible for our technological progress and social structures thru the ages. Without those challenges, we'd still be swinging from the trees. :wink:[/quote

No doubt Gene, and obviously we can't eliminate all risks dealt to us by Mother Nature. With that said, doesn't it make sense to eliminate some of the highest risk scenarios? For example in the areas about to be flooded, couldn't houses only be rebuilt if they could be raised higher than the water level of the known flood levels? Cut losses where the likelyhood is very high?

Intersting thread here.


Yes it does make sense to do it right. We're supposed to learn from our mistakes, which the evidence shows doesn't always happen :roll: . Pompeii and other volcanoes for example. Or more recently, the tsunami's in the past few years. :shock:

But, no matter where you go the best that can be done is to play the odds, and deal with what ever comes your way the best you can. Sometimes you lose.

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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 11:20 am 
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Sometimes, Gene, I think we, the human race, might be better off if we still were 'swinging from trees. But that's another discussion.

The problem is, Reeliron, to build in anticipation of the worst case scenario in the case of the flood at hand, we'd be considering homes 15 and more feet above ground. That would be a pretty tall order, especially for whole towns. None the less, there are ways to mitigate if not protect from destruction. Where I see the problem is the complacency brought about by bandaids used in an attempt to keep Mom Nature on a leash. Mayhaps there are situations where we should try to work with her instead.

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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 11:55 am 
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Every area of every country in the world has the potential of a disaster of one sort or another. If there were really a safe, hazard free place to live, we would all be living there sooner or later.
Floods, fires, hurricanes, tornadoes, volcanoes, mud slides, the list is endless so, we do the best we can in the area we live in for what ever reason we live there.
It is truly mother nature changing the shape of the world again. It has been changed several times before and it will change again in the future. Be it an ice age or an inferno or a flood, the world will keep turning.

Rog

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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 12:16 pm 
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Getting back to the Morganza biz, they opened 2 more gates today. That works out to 30,000cuft/sec discharge, or put another way a little under 7 acre ft / sec. In plain English it's flooding 7 acres per second a foot deep. http://www.nola.com/environment/index.s ... spurs.html

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PostPosted: Sun May 15, 2011 8:23 pm 
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Gene wrote:
Getting back to the Morganza biz, they opened 2 more gates today. That works out to 30,000cuft/sec discharge, or put another way a little under 7 acre ft / sec. In plain English it's flooding 7 acres per second a foot deep. http://www.nola.com/environment/index.s ... spurs.html


It's a reality check when you put numbers to it like that. it's ashame they can't pipe it to areas of the country with resovoirs that are low! Maybe a "strategic water reserve!"

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PostPosted: Mon May 16, 2011 12:10 am 
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reelinron wrote:
... it's ashame they can't pipe it to areas of the country with resovoirs that are low! ...


From the looks of what's in that water I wouldn't want it in our local reservoir! But you're right; it's too bad we can't turn adversity into advantage.

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PostPosted: Mon May 16, 2011 8:09 am 
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DennisS wrote:
reelinron wrote:
... it's ashame they can't pipe it to areas of the country with resovoirs that are low! ...


From the looks of what's in that water I wouldn't want it in our local reservoir! But you're right; it's too bad we can't turn adversity into advantage.


9 gates open this am. You do the math.

Here's a interactive satellite map of everything with labels. Taken prior to the gates being opened (May 13 ). :

http://www.mappingsupport.com/p/gmap4.p ... 9&label=on

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